Free MLB Pick - Saturday’s Best Bet
June 7, 2008
Saturday we’re looking at the Seattle Mariners and the Boston Red Sox total. Right now the over/under is set at 10 runs. To get things started we’ll look at some previous games this season. In four meetings this year, the score never went over 10. The Mariners haven’t had a game go over 10 total runs in their last 4, while the Red Sox haven’t had a total score of ten or more in their last 3. The Under is 7-2-2 in Boston’s last 11 games overall. We are banking on history repeating itself on Saturday. The pitching match up pits Miguel Bautista against Tim Wakefield. Those aren’t two pitchers that bring the term “pitchers’ duel” to mind, but they are both veterans who can keep any damage at a minimum.
Saturday’s MLB Pick: Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox UNDER 10
Popularity: 58% [?]
Free MLB Pick Thursday 6/5/2008
June 5, 2008
While much of the sports betting world will be watching the NBA Finals, don’t miss out on a chance to cash in with a solid bet in Major League Baseball Thursday. We’re taking a look at the Cubs versus the Padres. The Cubs are as hot as any team in baseball and are on the road visiting the pitcher-friendly home of the San Diego Padres. Can the hot streak continue or is it finally time for the Cubs to start acting like the Cubs again?
Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres
The Cubs are on quite a run. They’ve won 10 in a row (with Wednesday’s game at San Diego still pending) and their offense looks unstoppable. I don’t want to jinx it for you Cubs fans, but this really could be their year. Everything is coming together for them and I do not see any team in the NL that can be consistently as good as the Cubs can be. The Cubs will make the playoffs, you just have to hope they are hot for that run as well! Great, great value on them as a road dog Thursday night.
Pick: Chicago Cubs +108
Popularity: 62% [?]
Free MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 3, 2008
June 3, 2008
Our best bet in Major League Baseball today comes in the National League as the New York Mets visit the San Francisco Giants. The Giants have not been playing good baseball this season. Their pitching staff, other than Tim Lincecum has been awful, they can’t score any runs and they are just 2-7 in their last 9 home games. Saying that the Mets have been that much better would be a hard case to make as they only have three more wins that the Giants, but the Mets at least seem to have some pieces of the puzzle in place. Tonight marks the return of Pedro Martinez, and while he’ll never be the same Pedro you remember from just a few years ago, he’s still got quality control and knows how to change speeds as good as anyone. Pedro’s counterpart for tonight’s game is the 1-8 Barry Zito, who has been a complete bust this season. Zito is giving up far too many hits and walks (his WHIP is 1.77 on the year) to be successful in any capacity in the Major Leagues. The Mets’ lineup doesn’t always produce the way it should on paper, but against a guy like Zito they should thrive.
New York Mets @ San Francisco Giants
Pick: New York Mets -140
Popularity: 65% [?]
Free MLB Picks - Saturday 5/31/08
May 31, 2008
Saturday we’ve got our eye on a pair of free winners in Major League Baseball. Today’s games feature a solid favorite in the National League and a heavy underdog pick in the American League.
Atlanta Braves @ Cincinnati Reds
The Braves continue to be a force in the National League. For most of the last decade you could find them at the top of the standings in the National League East. Over the past few years, the Braves have fallen on some hard times, but they are right back in the mix to win their division this season. They’ve got some good vets and a solid roster of young talent. The Reds continue to struggle to get back to the .500 mark. Lead by the 5-3 Jair Jurrjens, I like the Braves to pick up a victory on the road Saturday.
Pick: Atlanta Braves -132
Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Indians
Surprising as it may be, the Royals actually have a better record at home than the Indians do on the road. This shouldn’t be all that surprising, however, if you’ve been following any baseball this season. Something isn’t right in Cleveland and until they figure out what it is, they are on our list of teams to fade in the right spots. Saturday in Kansas City is one of those spots.
Pick: Kansas City Royals +150
Popularity: 71% [?]
Free MLB Pick Thursday 5/29
May 28, 2008
Thursday is a travel day for Major League Baseball, but there’s still one game we’ve got our eye on. The books tend to tighten up on days like Thursday. Since there is less to bet on, they have to make sure their lines are extra tight. Well, I’ve found one game that I think the odds maker’s missed for Thursday night.
Colorado Rockies @ Chicago Cubs
The first-place Cubs host the struggling Colorado Rockies on Thursday night. As bad as Colorado has been so far this season, there’s no reason to give up on them just yet. They do have good offensive players, they are just either hurt or slump. They also do have good starting pitching, at least they have players that have put together good starts and even good seasons, they just don’t have any confidence right now after getting knocked around in the first two months of the season. Jeff Francis is the supposed ace of the Colorado staff, and though his numbers are very un-ace-like, I’ll take my chances on the struggling young hurler against a Cubs team that is bound to level out through these middle months of the long season.
Pick: Colorado Rockies +130
Popularity: 71% [?]
5/28/08 MLB Picks
May 28, 2008
The MLB season is only about one-third of the way through, so there are plenty of opportunities to cash in on some great money line plays. We’ll always look for the edge, throwing together a mix of valuable underdogs and under-valued favorites. Let’s get right to the picks!
Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers still haven’t earned much respect from me this season, they continue to struggle both in the batter’s box and on the mound out of the bullpen. Atlanta is once again in the hunt for the NL East title. They almost always field a well-rounded team. This season is no different.
Pick: Atlanta Braves +105
Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres
It’s not necessarily a sin to bet on road teams in Major League Baseball. Because of the length of the season, and the slower pace of the game, home field advantage is less of a factor in baseball. Also, the Padres have been down right horrible this season.
Pick: Washington Nationals +115
Detroit Tigers @ LA Angels
The Angels really don’t get enough credit. They haven’t ended up performing in the post-season, but they are proving again this season that they know how to build a team to put together bunches of wins. This kid throwing for the Angels, Joe Saunders, is having a great year, and with their offense behind him he looks perfectly poised to pick up his 9th win of the season already.
Pick: LA Angels -125
Popularity: 36% [?]
Free MLB Picks for 5/25/08
May 25, 2008
Sunday in Major League Baseball we take a look at three quality bets. The schedule is packed with games, but we won’t be chasing any big favorites. Today’s free MLB picks are all about the value!
New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies
I haven’t quite put my finger on it yet, but there’s something wrong with the entire Rockies’ roster. The batters can’t seem to produce and the pitching staff has fallen flat all season. The Mets haven’t wowed anyone, but John Maine is a solid hurler that can easily keep the Mets ahead in this one if they can score some runs.
Pick: New York Mets +100
Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres
The Padres have been a huge disappointment so far this season. Their offense has been a joke and while their pitching is supposed to be their strength, it really hasn’t panned out either. That being said, I like this match-up for the Padres in San Diego because Greg Maddux is still good enough to get the job done, particularly in the pitching-friendly environment of PETCO Park. The Reds are as inconsistent as they come, which is why they are sitting at the bottom of the standings in the NL Central.
Pick: San Diego Padres +125
Los Angeles Angels @ Chicago White Sox
The Angeles and the White Sox have two of the best records in the American League, and both are currently in first place in their respective Divisions. Of the two, the Angeles have been the better team overall. LAA always seems to put together good seasons when nobody is really paying attention to them, and that seems to be the case this year. John Lackey was one of the best pitchers in the AL last season, and though he started the season on the DL he’s come out in his first two starts and pitched gems.
Pick: Los Angeles Angels +100
Popularity: 35% [?]
Free MLB Pick - Friday 5/23
May 22, 2008
There may be a bundle of Major League Baseball games going on Friday, but we’ve got our eye on just one. Friday’s play is our biggest underdog play of the week, which means you’ll risk less and get paid more if our home dog hits. As always, we are looking at the value of the play and this match up is oozing with it.
Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Starting pitching is probably the single most important factor to consider when betting on baseball. At the same time, it’s also the most overrated factor. How can that be? Well, a hot or a consistent starting pitchers warrants a bet, but only if the price is right. You have to be a bargain shopper out there. Don’t throw your cash out on Brandon Webb every time he takes the mound. Not because you won’t win the majority of the time, because most of the time the risk isn’t worth the reward, especially in baseball. I’d be much less likely to throw down 100 to win 170 than I would be to bet the 170 in order to win the 100. The value just isn’t there and, in the long run, you’ll never come out ahead betting on big favorites in baseball. Friday the Pirates are +155 (or better) underdogs against the Chicago Cubs and Carlos Zambrano. The Big Z is a fireballer, no questions about that, but he’s also inconsistent and seems to break-down mentally more than some of the other big-name pitchers. The Pirates really are not as bad as they have been in the past. They have some significant pop in their lineup, plus they are playing at home. The value here is on Pittsburgh.
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +155
Popularity: 29% [?]
Thursday’s Free MLB Picks
May 21, 2008
There are a lot of great games going in Major League Baseball on Thursday. We’ll take a look at our three best bets of the day including a very nice home underdog, plus one line that really jumped out and got me excited!
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Yes, I’m on the Pirates again. Why not? They have just as good of a record as the Brewers, and they have the better starting pitcher going tonight. Until the Brew Crew find some stability in their middle and long relief I won’t be betting on them, I’ll be betting against them.
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates -120
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Florida Marlins
I love a good home underdog. I know that Arizona has looked unstoppable early on, but the Marlins have a great young team that could easily capitalize on a road-weary D-Backs squad.
Pick: Florida Marlins +112
New York Mets -113 @ Atlanta Braves
The Mets aren’t great, but Johan Santana still is. He’s not getting the hype he did in Minnesota, though I’m not sure why. He still has great numbers, they just aren’t astronomically better than everyone else. I will take him at -113 100 times out of 100, at home or on the road. It just doesn’t matter. Take the Mets Thursday.
Pick: New York Mets -113
Popularity: 31% [?]
Wednesday’s Free Hot MLB Picks
May 20, 2008
For Wednesday we’ll take a look at a pair of big value under dogs in Major League Baseball. Remember that the key in betting baseball is in the quality of the bets, as well as the quality of the lines. You can drastically improve your risk-to-profit ratio by finding and betting consistent winning underdogs.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Home dogs aren’t as strong in baseball as they are in other sports, but they are always worth a look. I’ve been ragging on the Brewer’s bullpen all season and with good reason. They simply can’t hold a lead. The Brewers should also have concern for Ben Sheet’s lack of control after about the 4th inning. The guy hasn’t pitched a full season in a long time, take it easy on him!
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +115
Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers
Huh? This is an easy win for the Tigers, you say? There’s no such thing for the Tigers this season who, despite being touted by all of the major sports networks as the offensive powerhouse to end all other discussions of offensive powerhouses in MLB history, are ten games under .500 and (at press) actually have a worse record than the Mariners. The bats just aren’t what everyone thought they would be and the pitching has also been consistently underwhelming in Detroit.
Pick: Seattle Mariners +130
Popularity: 29% [?]
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