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Free MLB Picks - 5/17/2008

May 17, 2008

Interleague action is in full effect and there are some pretty sweet rivalry games going today.  Here are Saturday’s top picks in bases:

Tampa Bay Rays @ St. Louis Cardinals
Both teams are flying a little bit under the radar this season, but both are playing some really good baseball.  STL gets the edge in the pitching match-up (just barely), but it’s enough to give them the nod.
Pick:  St. Louis Cardinals -125

New York Mets @ New York Yankees
This is a makeup game from last night’s rain-out.  I’m still perplexed at how Johan Santana can be facing a bad Yankees team and he’s only favored by -130 on the money line.  The Mets have had their struggles as well, but I’d bet just about any game where Santana is less than a -160 favorite.
Pick:  New York Mets -130

Cleveland Indians @ Cincinnati Reds
The Indians are really hitting their stride.  Their winning ways should continue with Carmona on the mound Saturday.
Pick:  Cleveland Indians +105

Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers
The Rangers are awful.  Just awful.  Astros’ hurler, Roy Oswalt is too good of a talent to continue his struggles much longer.  This could be the turning point for his season.
Pick:  Houston Astros -110

Popularity: 28% [?]

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Free MLB Picks - 5/16/08

May 16, 2008

Here’s a look at what I see as the best bets in baseball for Friday.  Lots of soft lines, let’s jump on the books this weekend!  Cubs/Pirates gets us started!

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs
The Cubs are hitting like mad and have no business being only -135 against Pitt.  Anything can happen in baseball, but this is a bargain.
Pick:  Chicago Cubs -135

Toronton Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies
Is it just me or does the American League usually clean up in inter-league play.  I don’t have the numbers on-hand to back that up, but I’m pretty sure it’s true.  I love what Jays have done with their pitching staff this season.  It’s one of the best in baseball and I’ll always take good pitching over good hitting.
Pick:  Toronto Blue Jays +115

New York Mets @ New York Yankees
The Subway Series!  Or whatever.  The Yanks are slumping and Johan Santana is pitching for the Mets.  -130?  You have to be kidding.  METS METS METS!
Pick:  New York Mets -130

San Diego Padres @ Seattle Mariners
I’m actually cheering against the Padres because I don’t have Padres’ starting pitcher, Chris Young, on my fantasy baseball team, but he’s really good and the Mariners suck something awful this year.  I’ll take the Daddies.
Pick:  San Diego Padres -110

Expect a lot of bargain numbers during interleague play this season as odds makers don’t seem to know exactly how to set their lines.  Plenty more free MLB picks to come in the upcoming weeks!

Popularity: 31% [?]

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Free NBA Playoff Picks - 5/16/08

May 16, 2008

Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavs
First up on Friday we have the Boston Celtics as three point underdogs playing in Cleveland against Lebron James and some other players on the Cleveland Cavs.  Home teams have been absolutely sick in the playoffs so far this year, notching a 10-1 record with the Spurs off to a nice start to the first half of their home playoff game tonight (Thursday).  It’s about time for that trend to be broken.  Boston has a chance to end this series and there’s no real reason they can’t do it.  They had one of the best records on the road in the NBA during the regular season, and though they haven’t grabbed a win on the road in the playoffs, they certainly have the ability to.  Boston is clearly the better team.  They have better all-around talent, they’ve won more games, and they beat the Cavs on paper in nearly every major statistical category.  It’s not a stretch to think that Boston comes away with victory in Friday’s game, the line tells me that there is a manufactured expectation for the home team to win.  I don’t buy it.  I’m on Boston to finish up this series in game six.
Pick:  Boston Celtics +3

LA Lakers @ Utah Jazz
For all that I’ve already said about home teams in the playoffs this year, I do think this is a case where the home team can get it done.  It’s a very different situation, don’t you think?  The Lakers have been very impressive this season, but Utah has been just as impressive, if not more so because of their lack of star-power.  I also do know that Utah is a legitimately better team at home, so I expect this series to go the distance.  I’d really like this line to be a pick ‘em or 2 points, but I’ll bit on the 4, though my expectation is that the Lakers will finish out the series in LA in game seven.
Pick:  Utah Jazz -4

Popularity: 29% [?]

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